Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.004514 0.004962 0.005444 0.006003 0.006636 0.007331 0.008157
2025-09-21 0.003710 0.004316 0.005016 0.005893 0.006968 0.008257 0.009935
2025-09-28 0.003239 0.003907 0.004716 0.005779 0.007159 0.008914 0.011357
2025-10-05 0.002943 0.003654 0.004547 0.005771 0.007434 0.009659 0.012942
2025-10-12 0.002758 0.003511 0.004489 0.005878 0.007846 0.010607 0.014911
2025-10-19 0.002543 0.003304 0.004318 0.005804 0.007984 0.011166 0.016370
2025-10-26 0.002379 0.003149 0.004200 0.005783 0.008183 0.011822 0.018051
2025-11-02 0.002218 0.002983 0.004049 0.005694 0.008262 0.012291 0.019482
2025-11-09 0.002113 0.002886 0.003988 0.005729 0.008527 0.013073 0.021552
2025-11-16 0.001995 0.002763 0.003876 0.005672 0.008636 0.013604 0.023243
2025-11-23 0.001868 0.002617 0.003720 0.005532 0.008590 0.013859 0.024448
2025-11-30 0.001787 0.002535 0.003653 0.005529 0.008770 0.014525 0.026553
2025-12-07 0.001747 0.002514 0.003685 0.005696 0.009277 0.015877 0.030373
2025-12-14 0.001648 0.002398 0.003561 0.005593 0.009296 0.016317 0.032352
2025-12-21 0.001558 0.002291 0.003441 0.005486 0.009295 0.016716 0.034310
2025-12-28 0.001496 0.002223 0.003381 0.005479 0.009476 0.017501 0.037337
2026-01-04 0.001459 0.002193 0.003382 0.005579 0.009875 0.018792 0.041904
2026-01-11 0.001394 0.002114 0.003295 0.005509 0.009927 0.019342 0.044678
2026-01-18 0.001342 0.002054 0.003237 0.005490 0.010078 0.020130 0.048292
2026-01-25 0.001284 0.001980 0.003149 0.005407 0.010088 0.020592 0.051089
2026-02-01 0.001248 0.001942 0.003123 0.005439 0.010345 0.021675 0.056024
2026-02-08 0.001201 0.001884 0.003055 0.005386 0.010411 0.022302 0.059711
2026-02-15 0.001145 0.001807 0.002953 0.005255 0.010290 0.022444 0.061861